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investors favors conservative vehicles like xed-income funds or even cash Among stocks, this group of investors would probably gravitate toward oldfashioned blue chip dividend-paying names, since these investors seek dependability and stability Investors in this group may decide to take the results of the 100-minus rule and dial the equity allocation down by around 10 or 20 percentage points In other words, they may take what you would call an 80-minus approach or a 90-minus approach For example, a 30-year-old conservative investor who would normally have 70 percent of his money in equities may choose a 50 or 60 percent allocation instead Older investors who fall into this category, because they have lower risk tolerance and a shorter time horizon, may decide to put less than half of their holdings into stocks So a 40-60 stock/ bond allocation or a 30 percent stock/50 percent bond/20 percent cash allocation may be closer to their liking
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Moderate-risk or income-minded investors, on the other hand, are looking for a combination of capital appreciation and income stability in their portfolios Often, they can withstand a 20 or even 30 percent short-term drop in their stock portfolios, because of their temperament, and since they might have a bit more time to work with Moderate investors would probably feel comfortable owning a number of di erent types of stocks, so long as they are held in a diversi ed manner Often, these consumers are investing for two purposes: a shorter-term goal, like college savings, along with a long-term goal like retirement These investors will probably accept the types of allocations typically called for under the 100-minus rule At the very least, they may choose to fall back on the classic balanced allocation of 60 percent stocks and 40 percent bonds
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And then there are the aggressive or growth-oriented investors This group tends to be young, since time allows for investors to bear risk And aggressive investors also tend to be more active when it comes to managing their money While conservative and moderate investors tend to favor a buy-and-hold approach, there are segments within the aggressive set that like to roll the dice These investors not only favor stocks over bonds, but tend to favor growth stocks over value shares And they may favor smaller, riskier stocks with more potential than bigger, stable stocks with a proven track record The attitude of many aggressive investors is: Why hit a single when you can swing for the fences
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Typically, an aggressive investor will have at least 70 percent of his or her money in equities, with the remaining 30 percent or less in bonds Some feel comfortable going to a 90 percent equity allocation And in some instances, based on tactical decision making, aggressive investors may choose to go 100 percent in equities
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A criticism of using risk tolerance to gauge your asset allocation is that it s too subjective Moreover, according to this criticism, investors may not know how tolerant they are of risk until they experience real losses in the market Meanwhile, age-based asset allocation strategies are sometimes criticized for being too simplistic After all, you can have two people with the exact same age who have entirely di erent asset allocation needs For example, say you have two 60-year-olds One is an executive earning six gures who has a good pension, a large investment portfolio, and the ability to work another 10 years in his eld The other 60-year-old makes a middle-class living but has little savings and is in poor health and is therefore likely to be forced to retire within a year Obviously, the same asset allocation strategy cannot be right for both men In the case of the 60-year-old executive, you ve got a person who has the wherewithal thanks to his pension (which should, for the sake of asset allocation, be considered xed income since it provides a guaranteed income stream) and his career to take on substantial risk In fact, his time horizon until retirement, though 60, may actually be more than 10 years long The other 60-year-old, in comparison, may have a time horizon of less than one or two years, even though the typical age of retirement is 65 A simple way to deal with these concerns is to peg your asset allocation strategy not to your age, but to your retirement timetable This makes for a slightly more sophisticated approach than the 100-minus rule At the same time, it often re ects a truer sense of risk tolerance than simply asking someone to describe him- or herself as conservative, moderate, or aggressive One simple approach to pegging an allocation strategy to your retirement is to multiply the number of years that you re scheduled to retire by a factor of 2 Let s call this the two times factor A 20-year-old worker 45 years away from retirement should therefore have 90 percent of his assets in stocks (45 2 90) A 35-year-old 30 years from retirement may want to put 60 percent of her money in equities (Figure 14-7) However, there are two adjustments you should probably make to this rule Though it s good for getting going at a young age, the rule turns decidedly
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